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India-China Joint Anti-Terror Exercise: An Assessment

B.Raman, C3S Paper No.91 dated December 26, 2007

The Chinese Armed Forces have been holding joint anti-terrorism exercises with the armed forces of different countries since 2002. Till August,2007, they had held the following anti-terror exercises :

2. Thus, till August,2007, China had participated in eight anti-terror military exercises. Of these, two were multilateral under the SCO and the remaining six bilateral—- two with Pakistan and one each with Russia,Kyrgyzstan,Tajikistan and Thailand. The smallest in terms of troop participation was with Thailand and the largest with Russia. The bilateral exercise with Russia was even larger than the multilateral exercises under the SCO.

3. The following were the defining characteristics of these exercises:

4. The limited scope of these exercises did not permit them to be trend-setters in the joint fight against terrorism. Their main achievement was in enabling military officers of the participating countries to get to know each other and in increasing their comfort level towards each other.

5. The first India-China joint anti-terror military exercise (”Hand-in-Hand,2007″) held at Kunming in the Yunnan province of China from December 19 to 25,2007, which involved 103 troops each from the two armies,was no different in its scope and limited significance from the eight exercises held earlier with other countries. This was admitted by the Chinese themselves in a round-up of the exercise carried by the “People’s Daily” on December 26,2007. It said: “Although some military and diplomatic observers said that the joint training is more symbolic than substantial, many acknowledged that the point is not the scale of the joint training or what specific anti-terrorism skills are involved. The point is that the soldiers on both sides are moving toward each other in a friendly way.”

6. The comments of Chinese officials and non-governmental analysts too stressed the significance of the exercise in the larger context of State-to-State and military-military relations and not in the specific context of their political willingness to fight against terrorism jointly. To quote some of these comments:

7. The exercise, which was held at a hilly terrain near Kunming, had the following theme:” 56 “terrorists” from “an international terrorist organization” have entered the border area of China and India. They have “established” a training base and intend to attack a trading post on the border between the two countries. The two armies establish a joint command post and joint battle decision-making and carry out an anti-terrorism operation before wiping out the group of “terrorists” and rescuing the hostages.”

8. The theme reflected more Chinese concerns over the possibility of alleged Tibetan extremists from the diaspora staging cross-border raids into Tibet in the event of instability in Tibet after the death of the Dalai Lama. This theme would be of little relevance to India since we have no reason to fear any cross-border terrorism against India originating from Chinese territory unless one day Al Qaeda seizes control of Xinjiang in China and the Northern Areas (Gilgit and Baltistan) of Pakistan. Such a possibility is remote.

9. A more useful theme would have been to visualise different terrorist scenarios during and before next year’s Beijing Olympics and see how the intelligence,counter-terrorism agencies and the armed forces of the two countries could co-operate with each other to deal with the situation.

10. Even though there is no convergence of assessments between India and China on what is terrorism and which are the terrorist organisations, which should be of common concern to the two countries, certain kinds of scenarios should be of common concern—such as a Munich-1972 like scenario during the Beijing Olympics; aircraft hijacking; threats to the Embassies of the two countries etc. Neither side will allow the other to join in any counter-terrorist operations inside its territory, but there can be an exchange of ideas and expertise as to how deal with such situations.

11. That should be the objective of future co-operation between the two countries against terrorism. Far-fetched scenarios such as the two armies mounting a joint operation against a large group of terrorists across the Sino-Indian border will serve little purpose professionally. (26-12-07)

(The writer, Mr.B.Raman, is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. He is also associated with the Chennai Centre For China Studies. E-mail: seventyone2@gmail.com)

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